Uncertainty Analysis in Prediction Intervals Using Neutrosophic Numbers

Authors

  • Héctor Félix Cerna Maguiña National University of San Marcos, Lima. Peru
  • Domingo Guzmán Chumpitaz Ramos Ricardo Palma University, Lima. Peru
  • Ada Lucía Gallegos Ruiz Conejo Ricardo Palma University, Lima. Peru
  • Nancy Isabel Pool Painted Ricardo Palma University, Lima. Peru
  • Jesús Isabel Baltazar Ángeles Ricardo Palma University, Lima. Peru

Keywords:

Neutrosophic numbers, uncertainty analysis, prediction intervals, indeterminacy, remuneration, quality of life predictions

Abstract

This study analyzes uncertainty in prediction intervals by applying neutrosophic numbers to quality of life forecasts based on characteristics such as compensation, job hours, years of experience, and academic level. Three examples were studied, with indeterminacy values ranging from 0.589 to 0.628. These statistics show that between 58.9% and 62.8% of the prediction intervals are affected by uncertainty. Higher indeterminacy levels reflect a stronger effect of external influences or unpredictability within the data. The analysis demonstrates that as variables like compensation and labor hours grow, so does the level of uncertainty in the projections. Neutrosophic numbers provide a valuable framework for quantifying this uncertainty, providing for a better understanding of the model's limitations and the unpredictable nature of the dataset.

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Published

2024-09-01

How to Cite

Héctor Félix Cerna Maguiña, Domingo Guzmán Chumpitaz Ramos, Ada Lucía Gallegos Ruiz Conejo, Nancy Isabel Pool Painted, & Jesús Isabel Baltazar Ángeles. (2024). Uncertainty Analysis in Prediction Intervals Using Neutrosophic Numbers. Neutrosophic Sets and Systems, 71(71), 98-104. https://fs.unm.edu/nss8/index.php/111/article/view/4923